uncertainty
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Tools & methods
Participatory scenario planning
The point of scenario planning is not to predict the future, but to explore its uncertainties. Participatory scenario planning extends…
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Climate knowledge
It’s too hard to make business decisions in the face of climate uncertainty – here’s how ‘storylines’ could help
It’s important to produce complex, precise climate simulations, but we need to make sure businesses can actually understand and use…
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Systems & complexity
The Strategic Choice Approach in shaping public policies
How to work together to move rapidly towards commitments to action or to changes of policy on difficult issues of…
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Brain power
Combining human and artificial intelligence for organizational decision-making under uncertainty
Identifying a division of tasks between humans and AI for each step in the decision-making process.
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Brain power
How to better deal with uncertainty
Four groups of tools and approaches for dealing with uncertainty, which is often central to change and innovation.
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Brain power
Ignorance: Vocabulary and taxonomy
How can we better understand ignorance? We can consider that ignorance is not simply the absence of knowledge, but is…
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Quality of science & its communication
Researchers more likely to downplay than exaggerate findings
Researchers have developed a tool for both scientists and journalists to use to help them calculate the uncertainty in research…
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Brain power
Uncertainty can diminish our decision making
We tend to deploy one of two strategies when we encounter uncertainty.
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Brain power
The importance of clear communication, even in uncertain times
Five strategies to use to ensure that employees can trust what leaders say.
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Systems & complexity
A quick guide to post-normal science
Post-normal science comes into play for decision-making on policy issues where facts are uncertain, values in dispute, stakes high and…
