uncertainty
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Brain power
Friday essay: how to have brave conversations in an age of loud moral certainty
Brave conversation is the refusal to let our shared reality be dictated by the loudest certainties and the most rigid…
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ABCs of KM
Why not knowing what to do isn’t always a bad thing for leaders
If “unknowingness” is recognised and accepted, it can lead to better decision-making across an organisation.
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Brain power
Stories of self, us, and now: A tool for navigating uncertainty
Moving groups from individual experiences of uncertainty (Self) to shared meaning (Us), and toward concrete action steps (Now).
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Tools & methods
Participatory scenario planning
The point of scenario planning is not to predict the future, but to explore its uncertainties. Participatory scenario planning extends…
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Climate knowledge
It’s too hard to make business decisions in the face of climate uncertainty – here’s how ‘storylines’ could help
It’s important to produce complex, precise climate simulations, but we need to make sure businesses can actually understand and use…
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Systems & complexity
The Strategic Choice Approach in shaping public policies
How to work together to move rapidly towards commitments to action or to changes of policy on difficult issues of…
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Brain power
Combining human and artificial intelligence for organizational decision-making under uncertainty
Identifying a division of tasks between humans and AI for each step in the decision-making process.
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Brain power
How to better deal with uncertainty
Four groups of tools and approaches for dealing with uncertainty, which is often central to change and innovation.
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Brain power
Ignorance: Vocabulary and taxonomy
How can we better understand ignorance? We can consider that ignorance is not simply the absence of knowledge, but is…
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Quality of science & its communication
Researchers more likely to downplay than exaggerate findings
Researchers have developed a tool for both scientists and journalists to use to help them calculate the uncertainty in research…
